New Gold Stock Performance

NGD Stock  CAD 14.01  0.27  1.89%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, New Gold holds a performance score of 12. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.79, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, New Gold will likely underperform. Please check New Gold's value at risk, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether New Gold's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in New Gold are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal fundamental indicators, New Gold displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:3
Last Split Date
2002-07-25
1
Can New Gold Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn - Trefis
12/05/2025
2
New Gold Inc Stock on Dec. 12, 2025 52-Week High Momentum, Coeur Buyout Terms, Analyst Forecasts, and Whats Next - ts2.tech
12/12/2025
3
New Gold stock hits 52-week high at 8.87 USD - Investing.com
12/19/2025
4
Galantas Gold shares double in early trade on new gold project acquisition - Proactive financial news
01/07/2026
5
New Gold Inc Gains Traction After TSX Composite Index Broad Advance - Kalkine Media
01/15/2026
6
New Gold Inc Shares Up 9.79 percent on Jan 22 - GuruFocus
01/22/2026
7
Is New Gold a Solid Growth Stock 3 Reasons to Think Yes - sharewise.com
01/28/2026
8
British Columbia court approves Coeurs takeover of New Gold - Yahoo Finance
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow185.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-263.4 M
  

New Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  975.00  in New Gold on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  426.00  from holding New Gold or generate 43.69% return on investment over 90 days. New Gold is generating 0.6701% of daily returns assuming 4.1% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 36% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than New Gold, and 87% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon New Gold is expected to generate 5.49 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.49 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

New Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.01 90 days 14.01 
about 22.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.5 (This New Gold probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.79 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, New Gold will likely underperform. Additionally New Gold has an alpha of 0.4419, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   New Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3914.5118.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6515.7719.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.0112.1416.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.250.18
Details

New Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.79
σ
Overall volatility
2.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

New Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
New Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: British Columbia court approves Coeurs takeover of New Gold - Yahoo Finance

New Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding796.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments110.3 M

New Gold Fundamentals Growth

New Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of New Gold, and New Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on New Stock performance.

About New Gold Performance

By examining New Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into New Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that New Gold is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 72.86  102.06 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.12 

Things to note about New Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for New Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
New Gold is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: British Columbia court approves Coeurs takeover of New Gold - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating New Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate New Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing New Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether New Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining New Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating New Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of New Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of New Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into New Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating New Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact New Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether New Gold is a strong investment it is important to analyze New Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact New Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding New Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in New Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in New Stock, please use our How to Invest in New Gold guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
It's important to distinguish between New Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding New Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, New Gold's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.